Few days back, Indian Army carried out invasive foray on the
terrorist camps across the line of control in Pakistan occupied Kashmir slaying
35 terrorists. Few months back, Indian Army launched an operation to capture
the insurgent group leader of Manipur and crossed the International border and
entered Myanmar and dragged him back successfully in own territory. What was
common in both the operation? Nil casualties!
After the famous surgical strike, the war clouds are in the
sky, and both the countries are preparing for conventional war. This also kindled
a deliberation among military sages and correspondents that considering intimidation
of China, should India go on war? China has come in sustenance of Pakistan by
issuing menace of launching attack on the eastern front of India, in case of
war with Pakistan.
China cannot think of going on war with India and it has
several ins and outs. I know what you are thinking, ‘oh come on’, but I request
you to give me your next ten minutes in which I will enlighten you with facts
and diplomacies which may change your opinion.
ECONONMY
China is a reformist economy and over the years it has apprehended
that to be a world power it needs a resilient economy. China is eyeing on
African continent to expand its business by entering African infrastructure
industry. Also, over the years china has urbanized telecom industries which are
also trying to expand in African continent. A war with India will push China
economy 30 years back which implies it has to work further 60 years to build an
empire which can be considered as world power. US are the best example; war
with Taliban and conquest of Iraq led its economy to clatter and also pushed
the world in one of the vilest phase of depression after 1929.
ANTIQUITY
Oh I am really sorry; I showed you the future without even
giving a brief intro of the bygone. Why we lost in 1962 by China? The reason is
that Indian Army was not prepared to fight a war against China and never
expected a fight on the Chinese front. Indian Army was poorly equipped because of
the low financial budget. After 1948, government started degrading Indian Army
and didn’t focus on its modernisation. On the other hand, China started
preparing for the war in 1959 and after 3 years of groundwork it launched the surge
of attacks on India.
Now, the Indian Army is not in the same state of 1962.
Indian Army is continuously concocting for the conventional war as it is the
primary job of the organisation. Continuous international military exercises
with the armies of different countries have made Indian Army sturdy. A
technologically well-equipped and learnt military leader is another pro.
In 1972, Vietnam defeated China, which is comparatively weaker
than Indian Army. It only implies that China is not unconquerable as it is
always exhibited in media.
DEFENCE FINANCIAL
PLAN
China portrays that it is spending lot of money on its
defence and I am not denying it. They are actually doing it but they haven’t
increased salary of the soldiers which has reduced morale of the People’s
Liberation Army. China has tried to invest more on equipment and did not uplift
the living standards of its own army. On contrary, Indian Army is spending
money on the equipment and also on soldiers. Morale of the army concludes the
victory and even the poorly equipped army with high morale has defeated armies
who were well equipped but with low morale.
COUNTERFEIT UNDERTAKINGS
Oh crap! I am being blunt. China has this policy of making
fake promises. In 1965, China assured that in case of war with India, China
will open the eastern front. With this confidence, Pakistan declared war on
India and rest is history. Pakistan kept waiting that China will open the front
and it never happened. Result of 1965 fake promise: India captured approx. 2000
sq. km of area of Pakistan and Pakistan captured approx. 400 sq. km of India.
India who was poorly equipped and technologically backward than Pakistan pulled
out a statistical military victory over Pakistan.
In 1971, China again assured Pakistan that it will create
international political pressure on India and also it will open eastern front
if needed to mount pressure on Indian Army to commit its forces outside East
Pakistan. This promise was never fulfilled and the result of the fake promise
of China; India became first country to divide a sovereign country into two and
liberate a nation.
In 1999, this time China even did not cared to make a fake
promise and offered no military support to Pakistan during Kargil War. May be
China was fed up of making fake promises and this time the China government
decided to do things differently.
In 2016, once again China has promised Pakistan. I know few
of geniuses will say that China may do it this time. I think you should start
watching BBC; China has entered Syria and committed its major chunk of troops
in Syria. This only implies that, China is not in a position to open a new
front on its own border against India.
INTERNAL GLITCHES
China is facing turbulence in its own country. The Muslim population,
who are in minority, is not happy with the government policies and there are
violence cases in the region along Republic of China. China has also committed
its Army in such region and the operational responsibility of People’s
Liberation Army is more and it is not in a comfortable position to commit its
forces to attack India with an intention to fulfil the hopes of Pakistan.
Now, it is your astuteness to decide that we can be on war
with Pakistan or not by considering the threat of China on our eastern
frontiers.
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